Okay Folks, since we’re in the Quarterfinals, I’m combining all of my picks, City and Southern Section, into one GIANT story. We had some big upsets in the City’s Division II, but for the most part, the Chalk held sway in Division I. Over in the Southeast, except for one game, the chalk held as well. Arcadia’s upset loss to Norwalk wasn’t equal to Butler almost beating Duke, but it was close, more like Richmond doing in that No. 2 seed in the NCAA tournament a few years ago. So let’s stop the quibbling, and get to the Stone Cold Lead Pipe locks, thank you, Tony Bruno.
City Section Division I: Quarterfinals, Friday, 7 p.m.
#8 Garfield (7-4) at #1 Carson (9-2)
MATCHUP: Last week, both the Bulldogs and the Colts had no trouble taking out their first round opponents. Colt Coach Elijah Asante knows the Bulldogs from his days as coach of their Eastern League rivals, the Jordan Bulldogs. Justin Alo has been his main weapon behind center, averaging more than 168 yards per game. But the Bulldogs have held their own against tougher opponents all season, including holding Orange Lutheran and Bishop Amat to their lowest point totals all season. Don’t be surprised if the Gutty Little Bulldogs knock off the Top seed in the bracket.
Prediction: Garfield 44, Carson 42 (OT)
#5 Taft (8-3) vs. #4 Dorsey (10-1) at Rancho Cienega Park
MATCHUP: The Toreadors have been riding the arm of quarterback Michael Berkovici all season long and it has them back where they feel they belong, especially after knocking off West Adams so easily. The Dons used the humiliation of their regular season pummeling at the hands of Crenshaw to their advantage last week with their win over Gardena. The key for the Dons is shutting down Berkovici, while the Toreadors can take a page out of Crenshaw’s book and just pound away at the Dons’ defense.
Prediction: Dorsey 45, Taft 35
#6 San Pedro (8-3) at #3 Venice (7-4)
MATCHUP: Sometimes it’s hard to look like you’re NOT running up the score. The Gondoliers had that problem last week against the once-mighty Locke Saints, who they just destroyed without so much as a sweat. Now they face a Pirates team that was best described this way by my colleague Tony Ciniglio from the LA Daily Breeze said this past week, “… there’s ‘fast’ then there’s ‘San Pedro fast,’” Last week, two plays by Brent Speight and Kris Bass allowed the Priates to sail into the Canals for a showdown. All hands on deck, the fat lady is gonna be singing this week, but it’s anyone’s guess if she’ll be belting out “Nessun Dorma” or “Yo Ho, Yo Ho, A Pirate’s Life for Me.”
Prediction: Venice 49, San Pedro 24
#7 Narbonne (6-5) at #2 Crenshaw(9-2)
MATCHUP: Almost one year ago, these two teams met for the Division I championship at the Coliseum. The Cougars came away with a 34-14 victory that not only closed out a perfect season but also punched their ticket to the State Bowl Championship game against De La Salle. That didn’t end well but now the Cougars are looking to reclaim that bowl bid, but first they have to knock off their finals opponent first. There won’t be the same mistake laden first half that the Gauchos produced last week against the Jordan Bulldogs, sophomore quarterback Troy Williams will be looking to get off to a fast start. The Cougars can be beaten if they can be held to under 21 points, and the Gauchos did that in each of their wins this year.
Prediction: Narbonne 34, Crenshaw 21
Division II: Quarterfinals, Friday, 7 p.m.
#16 Hamilton (4-6) at #9 Fairfax (7-3-1)
MATCHUP: This is a game no one expected. The defending champion Yankees weren’t supposed to win, while the Lions never even make the playoffs to begin with. Two weeks ago, the Lions stamped their tickets to the playoffs with a 35-0 shutout over the Yankees. If this is the year of the Lions, they need to put the Yankees away and move on to the semi-finals. The Yankees need to play like they did last week when they knocked off the top seed int he division, Reseda.
Prediction: Fairfax 27, Hamilton 24
#12 Franklin (8-3) vs. #4 Arleta (10-1) at Monroe
MATCHUP: This was the week of upsets in Division II, with Franklin upsetting the fifth seed Jefferson, while Arleta barely avoided being upset as well by the Eastern League’s Roosevelt. Look for the Mustangs to once again rely on the strength of running back Dejon Coleman and quarterback Javy Lopez. However, the Panthers also have some explosiveness in their own quarterback, senior Michael Orozco. Don’t expect another upset this week, unless Arleta starts looking past Franklin to the Semis.
Prediction: Arleta 42, Franklin 21
#14 Panorama (6-5) at #6 Chatsworth (9-2)
MATCHUP: Panorama was the third big upset of the first round last week, shutting down the third seed in the bracket, the Eastern League’s runner-up, South East. The Pythons have a legitimate weapon in running back Malcom Thomas, who has averaged 156.4 yards per game so far. In fact, the only game he didn’t rush for at least 100 yards was the regular season finale loss to Reseda two weeks ago. The Chancellors, on the other hand, ended the greatest season in recent memory of the Hollywood Sheiks last week. Both teams share a loss to Reseda this season, however, the Chancellors lost by only a touchdown. Shutting Down Thomas will be the key for Chatsworth’s survival.
Prediction: Panorama 48, Chatsworth 28
#7 Palisades (6-5) at #2 Francis Poly (9-2)
MATCHUP: A couple of weeks ago, my colleague Eric Sondheimer told me how head coach Perry Jones was lobbying for the Dolphins to be given a higher seed, as high as third. Last week against Lincoln, his Dolphins showed why he had such faith in them, easily handling the Tigers. Meanwhile, Poly continued their winning streak by knocking off the overmatched Conquistadors in the first round. The Parrots also have a strong rusher in Kevin Ervin, who’s already run for over 1,800 yards so far. The Dolphins will have to keep both him and Edgar Alejandro, who’s also rushed for more than 1,000 yards, from breaking the game open if they want to move on, which they probably won’t, since Poly has one of the best home field advantages in the Valley.
Prediction: Poly 48, Palisades 31
CIF Southern Section Southeast Division (VII)
SECOND ROUND: Friday 7:30 p.m.
Santa Fe (7-4) at #1 West Covina (10-1)
MATCHUP: Never doubt that after 30 years, head coach Jack Mahlstede still has a few tricks up his sleeves. His grandson and future assistant coach, quarterback Christian Mahlstede, has put the Chiefs’ air game finally on an even keel, leading the Chiefs into the second round. The Bulldogs really haven’t been challenged by any team since they lost to Covina and barely beat Glendora by five points. This will be a challenge they might not be able to stand up to. Look for this to be a real dogfight and if Santa Fe manages the upset, look out, they just might reach the finals.
Prediction: Santa Fe 31, West Covina 24 (OT)
#4 Burbank Burroughs (7-4) vs. Mayfair (7-4) at Ron Yary Stadium (Bellflower High):
MATCHUP: Just when you thought that Burroughs can relax after a win over El Rancho, they now have to go on the road and take on the Monsters of the LKWD in Mayfair. There’s no need to re-hash Evan Hunko’s numbers, he’s the main reason why the Monsoons are into the second round, but overlooked in that is the rushing prowess of running back Jason Logologo. Logologo is only 87 yards short of 1,000 yards this season and could break the Indians defense. The big target for the Monsoon defense is stopping the Brothers Yanez- quarterback Lucas and his main target Tyler. If either of these offenses get shut down, that game is over.
Prediction: Mayfair 28, Burroughs 24
Bonita (10-1) at Muir (7-4)
MATCHUP: Bonita had to trouble beating up on a very weak Cal team that was very lucky to have reached the playoffs. Aside from getting their heads handed to them by West Covina, the Bearcats really took advantage of the “Smudge Pot Mojo” all season, rattling off seven wins before getting knocked off by the Bulldogs. Despite that, they continued to roll. Muir has been that team nobody really wants to face. The Mustangs, despite having lost four of their first five games this season, turned into trouble in the Southeast playoff race, knocking Burroughs to give Burbank a shot at the title, helped El Rancho reach the playoffs by knocking off Pasadena in the Turkey Tussle and last week, knocked out an error-prone La Mirada. Bearcats head coach Eric Podley would do well to not take the Mustangs lightly, it could be fatal.
Prediction: Muir 38, Bonita 35 (OT)
#2 La Serna (10-1) at Norwalk (7-4)
MATCHUP: Last week, La Serna had to deal with something they hadn’t faced all season, a seasoned rush defense. Where normally the Lancers were able to unleash their one-two rushing combination of Richard Alvarez and OJ “Juice” Medina, they had to rely on the foot of kicker Tavis Guerra to get them the win in overtime. This week, the Lancer defense will need to have an answer for Norwalk’s own two-man 1,000-plus yard rushing monsters in Elijhaa Penny and Billy Moore, while the Lancers will need quarterback Andrew Buenrostro to keep finding holes in the secondary like he did against Walnut. This is going to be a Lancer joust worthy of Medieval Times.
Prediction: La Serna 34, Norwalk 31